Discounted Cash Flow

Life Time Group Holdings, Inc.

LTH · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2019 $1.9b $30.0m $-265.3m 1.6% $0.22
2020 $948.4m (-50.1%) $-360.2m (-1299.6%) $-361.6m (-36.3%) -38.0% (-2503.9%) $-2.48 (-1227.3%)
2021 $1.3b (39.0%) $-579.4m (-60.9%) $-348.9m (3.5%) -44.0% (-15.7%) $-3.73 (-50.4%)
2022 $1.8b (38.3%) $-1.8m (99.7%) $-390.2m (-11.8%) -0.1% (99.8%) $-0.01 (99.7%)
2023 $2.2b (21.6%) $76.1m (4342.2%) $-230.9m (40.8%) 3.4% (3588.1%) $0.39 (4000.0%)
2024 $2.6b (18.2%) $156.2m (105.4%) $50.6m (121.9%) 6.0% (73.7%) $0.77 (97.4%)
2025 $3.0b (14.3%) $373.7m (139.2%) $-21.0m (-141.4%) 12.5% (109.3%) $1.71 (122.6%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model