Discounted Cash Flow

Lyft, Inc.

LYFT · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2017 $1.1b $-688.3m $-401.1m -64.9%
2018 $2.2b (108.3%) $-911.3m (-32.4%) $-349.3m (12.9%) -41.3% (36.4%)
2019 $3.8b (70.6%) $-2.6b (-185.5%) $-283.8m (18.8%) -69.1% (-67.3%) $-11.44
2020 $2.4b (-37.2%) $-1.8b (32.6%) $-1.5b (-418.9%) -74.1% (-7.3%) $-5.61 (51.0%)
2021 $3.2b (35.7%) $-1.0b (42.4%) $-180.9m (87.7%) -31.5% (57.6%) $-3.02 (46.2%)
2022 $4.1b (27.6%) $-1.6b (-57.0%) $-352.3m (-94.7%) -38.7% (-23.0%) $-4.47 (-48.0%)
2023 $4.4b (7.5%) $-340.3m (78.5%) $-248.1m (29.6%) -7.7% (80.0%) $-0.88 (80.3%)
2024 $5.8b (31.4%) $22.8m (106.7%) $766.3m (408.9%) 0.4% (105.1%) $0.06 (106.3%)
2025 $6.3b (9.2%) $2.8b (12382.5%) $1.1b (45.6%) 45.0% (11334.6%) $6.92 (12332.1%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model