Discounted Cash Flow

LSI Industries Inc.

LYTS · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $322.2m $9.5m $7.6m 2.9% $0.38
2017 $331.4m (2.9%) $3.0m (-68.4%) $14.4m (90.1%) 0.9% (-69.2%) $0.12 (-68.4%)
2018 $342.0m (3.2%) $-19.5m (-751.4%) $8.1m (-43.8%) -5.7% (-731.1%) $-0.76 (-733.3%)
2019 $327.3m (-4.3%) $-16.3m (16.4%) $8.9m (9.6%) -5.0% (12.6%) $-0.63 (17.1%)
2020 $304.5m (-7.0%) $9.6m (158.7%) $27.0m (204.0%) 3.2% (163.1%) $0.37 (158.7%)
2021 $315.6m (3.7%) $5.9m (-38.8%) $25.8m (-4.4%) 1.9% (-41.0%) $0.22 (-40.5%)
2022 $455.1m (44.2%) $15.0m (156.2%) $-6.0m (-123.2%) 3.3% (77.6%) $0.55 (150.0%)
2023 $497.0m (9.2%) $25.8m (71.4%) $46.4m (874.9%) 5.2% (56.9%) $0.92 (67.3%)
2024 $469.6m (-5.5%) $25.0m (-3.0%) $38.0m (-18.1%) 5.3% (2.6%) $0.86 (-6.5%)
2025 $573.4m (22.1%) $24.4m (-2.4%) $34.7m (-8.8%) 4.3% (-20.0%) $0.82 (-4.7%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model