Discounted Cash Flow

Macy's, Inc.

M · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income
Dividends

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $1.1b $-394.0m $3.26
2017 $619.0m (-42.3%) $1.2b (405.8%) $2.01 (-38.3%)
2018 $1.6b (153.0%) $1.5b (20.9%) $5.13 (155.2%)
2019 $1.1b (-29.2%) $1.1b (-26.0%) $3.60 (-29.8%)
2020 $564.0m (-49.1%) $706.0m (-34.5%) $1.82 (-49.4%)
2021 $-3.9b (-799.3%) $311.0m (-55.9%) $-12.68 (-796.7%)
2022 $939.0m $1.4b (136.3%) $2.4b (658.2%) 152.3% $4.66 (136.8%)
2023 $1.0b (7.2%) $1.2b (-17.7%) $727.0m (-69.2%) 116.9% (-23.3%) $4.28 (-8.2%)
2024 $774.0m (-23.1%) $45.0m (-96.2%) $45.0m (-93.8%) 5.8% (-95.0%) $0.16 (-96.3%)
2025 $713.0m (-7.9%) $582.0m (1193.3%) $760.0m (1588.9%) 81.6% (1304.0%) $2.10 (1212.5%)
2026 $857.0m (20.2%) $642.0m (10.3%) $1.1b (39.1%) 74.9% (-8.2%) $2.37 (12.9%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model