Discounted Cash Flow

Manhattan Associates Inc.

MANH · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $604.6m $124.2m $132.5m 20.5% $1.73
2017 $594.6m (-1.6%) $116.5m (-6.2%) $157.9m (19.1%) 19.6% (-4.7%) $1.68 (-2.9%)
2018 $559.2m (-6.0%) $104.7m (-10.1%) $130.0m (-17.6%) 18.7% (-4.4%) $1.58 (-6.0%)
2019 $617.9m (10.5%) $85.8m (-18.1%) $131.7m (1.3%) 13.9% (-25.9%) $1.33 (-15.8%)
2020 $586.4m (-5.1%) $87.2m (1.7%) $138.2m (4.9%) 14.9% (7.2%) $1.37 (3.0%)
2021 $663.6m (13.2%) $110.5m (26.6%) $181.2m (31.1%) 16.6% (11.9%) $1.74 (27.0%)
2022 $767.1m (15.6%) $129.0m (16.7%) $173.0m (-4.5%) 16.8% (1.0%) $2.05 (17.8%)
2023 $928.7m (21.1%) $176.6m (36.9%) $241.5m (39.6%) 19.0% (13.1%) $2.86 (39.5%)
2024 $1.0b (12.2%) $218.4m (23.7%) $286.3m (18.6%) 20.9% (10.2%) $3.56 (24.5%)
2025 $1.1b (3.7%) $219.9m (0.7%) $374.0m (30.6%) 20.3% (-2.9%) $3.64 (2.2%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model