Discounted Cash Flow
Mattel Inc. /De/
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $5.5b | $318.0m | $472.4m | 5.8% | $0.93 |
| 2017 | $4.9b (-10.5%) | $-1.1b (-431.4%) | $-195.8m (-141.5%) | -21.6% (-470.4%) | $-3.07 (-430.1%) |
| 2018 | $4.5b (-7.5%) | $-533.3m (49.4%) | $-102.0m (47.9%) | -11.8% (45.3%) | $-1.55 (49.5%) |
| 2019 | $4.5b (-0.2%) | $-213.5m (60.0%) | $115.1m (212.9%) | -4.7% (59.9%) | $-0.62 (60.0%) |
| 2020 | $4.6b (1.8%) | $126.6m (159.3%) | $226.3m (96.6%) | 2.8% (158.3%) | $0.36 (158.1%) |
| 2021 | $5.5b (19.1%) | $903.0m (613.1%) | $408.3m (80.4%) | 16.5% (498.9%) | $2.58 (616.7%) |
| 2022 | $5.4b (-0.4%) | $393.9m (-56.4%) | $336.5m (-17.6%) | 7.2% (-56.2%) | $1.11 (-57.0%) |
| 2023 | $5.4b (0.1%) | $214.4m (-45.6%) | $784.0m (133.0%) | 3.9% (-45.6%) | $0.61 (-45.0%) |
| 2024 | $5.4b (-1.1%) | $541.8m (152.8%) | $665.4m (-15.1%) | 10.1% (155.7%) | $1.59 (160.7%) |
| 2025 | $5.3b (-0.6%) | $397.6m (-26.6%) | $482.6m (-27.5%) | 7.4% (-26.2%) | $1.25 (-21.4%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.