Discounted Cash Flow
Matson, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.9b | $80.5m | $-21.6m | 4.1% | $1.87 |
| 2017 | $2.0b (5.4%) | $232.0m (188.2%) | $-82.1m (-280.1%) | 11.3% (173.4%) | $5.41 (189.3%) |
| 2018 | $2.2b (8.6%) | $109.0m (-53.0%) | $305.0m (471.5%) | 4.9% (-56.7%) | $2.55 (-52.9%) |
| 2019 | $2.2b (-0.9%) | $82.7m (-24.1%) | $248.8m (-18.4%) | 3.8% (-23.5%) | $1.93 (-24.3%) |
| 2020 | $2.4b (8.2%) | $193.1m (133.5%) | $429.8m (72.7%) | 8.1% (115.8%) | $4.48 (132.1%) |
| 2021 | $3.9b (64.7%) | $927.4m (380.3%) | $984.1m (129.0%) | 23.6% (191.6%) | $21.67 (383.7%) |
| 2022 | $4.3b (10.6%) | $1.1b (14.7%) | $1.1b (8.0%) | 24.5% (3.7%) | $27.28 (25.9%) |
| 2023 | $3.1b (-28.7%) | $297.1m (-72.1%) | $262.1m (-75.3%) | 9.6% (-60.8%) | $8.42 (-69.1%) |
| 2024 | $3.4b (10.6%) | $476.4m (60.4%) | $457.7m (74.6%) | 13.9% (45.0%) | $14.14 (67.9%) |
| 2025 | $3.3b (-2.3%) | $444.8m (-6.6%) | $153.7m (-66.4%) | 13.3% (-4.5%) | $13.99 (-1.1%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.