Discounted Cash Flow
Moelis & Co.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $613.4m | $38.4m | $228.6m | 6.3% | $1.83 |
| 2017 | $684.6m (11.6%) | $29.4m (-23.4%) | $227.5m (-0.5%) | 4.3% (-31.4%) | $0.96 (-47.5%) |
| 2018 | $885.8m (29.4%) | $140.7m (378.5%) | $384.0m (68.8%) | 15.9% (269.8%) | $3.26 (239.6%) |
| 2019 | $746.5m (-15.7%) | $105.1m (-25.3%) | $202.8m (-47.2%) | 14.1% (-11.4%) | $2.09 (-35.9%) |
| 2020 | $943.3m (26.4%) | $178.8m (70.2%) | $388.6m (91.6%) | 19.0% (34.7%) | $3.16 (51.2%) |
| 2021 | $1.5b (63.3%) | $365.2m (104.2%) | $920.6m (136.9%) | 23.7% (25.0%) | $5.79 (83.2%) |
| 2022 | $985.3m (-36.0%) | $150.3m (-58.8%) | $27.0m (-97.1%) | 15.3% (-35.6%) | $2.29 (-60.4%) |
| 2023 | $854.7m (-13.2%) | $-24.7m (-116.4%) | $141.8m (424.4%) | -2.9% (-118.9%) | $-0.36 (-115.7%) |
| 2024 | $1.2b (39.8%) | $136.0m (650.7%) | $415.4m (193.0%) | 11.4% (494.0%) | $1.89 (625.0%) |
| 2025 | $1.5b (27.0%) | $233.0m (71.3%) | $540.0m (30.0%) | 15.4% (34.9%) | $3.11 (64.6%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.