Discounted Cash Flow
Monarch Casino & Resort Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $217.0m | $24.6m | $17.6m | 11.3% | $1.42 |
| 2017 | $230.7m (6.3%) | $25.5m (3.9%) | $-536.0k (-103.0%) | 11.1% (-2.2%) | $1.45 (2.1%) |
| 2018 | $240.3m (4.2%) | $34.1m (33.5%) | $-78.3m (-14511.6%) | 14.2% (28.2%) | $1.91 (31.7%) |
| 2019 | $249.2m (3.7%) | $31.8m (-6.7%) | $-62.1m (20.7%) | 12.8% (-10.0%) | $1.77 (-7.3%) |
| 2020 | $184.4m (-26.0%) | $23.7m (-25.6%) | $-57.2m (7.9%) | 12.8% (0.6%) | $1.30 (-26.6%) |
| 2021 | $395.4m (114.4%) | $68.5m (189.2%) | $81.2m (241.9%) | 17.3% (34.9%) | $3.68 (183.1%) |
| 2022 | $477.9m (20.9%) | $87.5m (27.7%) | $100.3m (23.5%) | 18.3% (5.7%) | $4.60 (25.0%) |
| 2023 | $501.5m (4.9%) | $82.4m (-5.8%) | $124.0m (23.7%) | 16.4% (-10.2%) | $4.28 (-7.0%) |
| 2024 | $522.2m (4.1%) | $72.8m (-11.7%) | $93.3m (-24.8%) | 13.9% (-15.2%) | $3.91 (-8.6%) |
| 2025 | $545.1m (4.4%) | $101.4m (39.3%) | $128.4m (37.7%) | 18.6% (33.5%) | $5.55 (41.9%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.