Discounted Cash Flow
MDU Resources Group Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $4.1b | $63.7m | $74.0m | 1.5% | $0.33 |
| 2017 | $4.4b (7.6%) | $280.4m (339.9%) | $106.6m (44.0%) | 6.3% (308.8%) | $1.44 (336.4%) |
| 2018 | $4.5b (2.0%) | $272.3m (-2.9%) | $-68.3m (-164.1%) | 6.0% (-4.8%) | $1.39 (-3.5%) |
| 2019 | $5.3b (17.8%) | $335.5m (23.2%) | $-33.8m (50.6%) | 6.3% (4.6%) | $1.69 (21.6%) |
| 2020 | $5.5b (3.7%) | $390.2m (16.3%) | $210.4m (722.7%) | 7.1% (12.2%) | $1.95 (15.4%) |
| 2021 | $5.7b (2.7%) | $378.1m (-3.1%) | $-163.6m (-177.8%) | 6.7% (-5.6%) | $1.87 (-4.1%) |
| 2022 | $7.0b (22.8%) | $367.5m (-2.8%) | $-121.0m (26.1%) | 5.3% (-20.8%) | $1.81 (-3.2%) |
| 2023 | $4.7b (-33.2%) | $414.7m (12.8%) | $-178.8m (-47.8%) | 8.9% (69.0%) | $2.04 (12.7%) |
| 2024 | $1.8b (-62.3%) | $281.1m (-32.2%) | $-111.0m (37.9%) | 16.0% (79.6%) | $1.38 (-32.4%) |
| 2025 | $1.9b (6.7%) | $190.4m (-32.3%) | $-296.3m (-166.9%) | 10.2% (-36.5%) | $0.93 (-32.6%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.