Discounted Cash Flow
Medpace Holdings, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $421.6m | $13.4m | $78.2m | 3.2% | $0.38 |
| 2017 | $436.2m (3.5%) | $39.1m (191.4%) | $85.7m (9.5%) | 9.0% (181.7%) | $1.00 (163.2%) |
| 2018 | $704.6m (61.5%) | $73.2m (87.1%) | $140.6m (64.1%) | 10.4% (15.8%) | $2.05 (105.0%) |
| 2019 | $861.0m (22.2%) | $100.4m (37.2%) | $184.0m (30.9%) | 11.7% (12.3%) | $2.79 (36.1%) |
| 2020 | $925.9m (7.5%) | $145.4m (44.7%) | $227.3m (23.6%) | 15.7% (34.6%) | $4.07 (45.9%) |
| 2021 | $1.1b (23.4%) | $181.8m (25.1%) | $235.1m (3.4%) | 15.9% (1.4%) | $5.06 (24.3%) |
| 2022 | $1.5b (27.8%) | $245.4m (34.9%) | $351.2m (49.4%) | 16.8% (5.6%) | $7.57 (49.6%) |
| 2023 | $1.9b (29.2%) | $282.8m (15.3%) | $396.7m (13.0%) | 15.0% (-10.8%) | $9.20 (21.5%) |
| 2024 | $2.1b (11.8%) | $404.4m (43.0%) | $572.3m (44.2%) | 19.2% (27.9%) | $13.06 (42.0%) |
| 2025 | $2.5b (20.0%) | $451.1m (11.6%) | $681.9m (19.2%) | 17.8% (-7.0%) | $15.64 (19.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.