Discounted Cash Flow
Methanex Corp. Foreign
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $2.0b | $-37.5m | $5.2m | -1.9% | $-0.14 |
| 2017 | $3.1b (53.2%) | $470.9m (1355.6%) | $501.6m (9471.1%) | 15.4% (919.8%) | $3.64 (2700.0%) |
| 2018 | $3.9b (28.5%) | $811.5m (72.3%) | $535.8m (6.8%) | 20.6% (34.1%) | $7.07 (94.2%) |
| 2019 | $3.3b (-16.5%) | $120.8m (-85.1%) | $462.6m (-13.7%) | 3.7% (-82.2%) | $1.15 (-83.7%) |
| 2020 | $2.6b (-19.3%) | $-187.4m (-255.1%) | $461.1m (-0.3%) | -7.1% (-292.2%) | $-2.06 (-279.1%) |
| 2021 | $4.4b (66.6%) | $666.3m (455.5%) | $931.0m (101.9%) | 15.1% (313.4%) | $6.34 (407.8%) |
| 2022 | $4.3b (-2.3%) | $582.1m (-12.6%) | $734.4m (-21.1%) | 13.5% (-10.5%) | $4.95 (-21.9%) |
| 2023 | $3.7b (-13.6%) | $285.6m (-50.9%) | $573.9m (-21.9%) | 7.7% (-43.2%) | $2.57 (-48.1%) |
| 2024 | $3.7b (-0.1%) | $280.1m (-1.9%) | $737.2m (28.5%) | 7.5% (-1.8%) | $2.43 (-5.4%) |
| 2025 | $3.6b (-3.5%) | $203.2m (-27.4%) | $916.6m (24.3%) | 5.7% (-24.8%) | $1.10 (-54.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.