Discounted Cash Flow
MFA Financial, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $263.8m | $312.7m | $-1.8b | 118.5% | $0.80 |
| 2017 | $236.3m (-10.4%) | $322.4m (3.1%) | $-1.4b (22.8%) | 136.4% (15.1%) | $0.79 (-1.3%) |
| 2018 | $223.5m (-5.4%) | $301.8m (-6.4%) | $-2.5b (-74.6%) | 135.0% (-1.0%) | $0.68 (-13.9%) |
| 2019 | $249.4m (11.6%) | $378.1m (25.3%) | $213.9m (108.7%) | 151.6% (12.3%) | $0.80 (17.6%) |
| 2020 | $90.6m (-63.7%) | $-679.4m (-279.7%) | $33.5m (-84.3%) | -749.7% (-594.4%) | $-1.57 (-296.2%) |
| 2021 | $241.9m (166.9%) | $328.9m (148.4%) | $108.2m (222.8%) | 135.9% (118.1%) | $0.67 (142.7%) |
| 2022 | $223.6m (-7.6%) | $-231.6m (-170.4%) | $365.8m (237.9%) | -103.6% (-176.2%) | $-2.57 (-483.6%) |
| 2023 | $176.5m (-21.1%) | $80.2m (134.6%) | $-480.2m (-231.3%) | 45.4% (143.9%) | $0.46 (117.9%) |
| 2024 | $202.7m (14.9%) | $119.3m (48.8%) | $-669.0m (-39.3%) | 58.8% (29.5%) | $0.83 (80.4%) |
| 2025 | $231.1m (14.0%) | $176.8m (48.2%) | $176.8m (126.4%) | 76.5% (30.1%) | $1.31 (57.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.