Discounted Cash Flow
Mizuho Financial Group Inc. ADR
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $2.9t | $2.3b | $2.3b | 0.1% | $14.33 |
| 2018 | $1.8t (-38.8%) | $3.6b (59.4%) | $-2.8b (-224.1%) | 0.2% (160.2%) | $22.77 (58.9%) |
| 2019 | $3.4t (94.7%) | $530.3m (-85.4%) | $3.2b (211.9%) | 0.0% (-92.5%) | $3.33 (-85.4%) |
| 2020 | $3.5t (0.8%) | $942.9m (77.8%) | $942.9m (-70.2%) | 0.0% (76.3%) | $5.92 (77.8%) |
| 2021 | $3.5t (1.1%) | $3.7b (287.3%) | $1.6b (71.3%) | 0.1% (283.0%) | $229.27 (3772.8%) |
| 2022 | $2.1t (-39.6%) | $-657.4m (-118.0%) | $-657.4m (-140.7%) | -0.0% (-129.8%) | $-41.28 (-118.0%) |
| 2023 | $4.3t (102.3%) | $-87.9m (86.6%) | $5.2b (884.3%) | -0.0% (93.4%) | $-5.52 (86.6%) |
| 2024 | $8.5t (99.0%) | $5.7b (6613.5%) | $-23.3b (-552.6%) | 0.1% (3373.2%) | $359.70 (6616.3%) |
| 2025 | $8.2t (-4.0%) | $3.7b (-35.0%) | $-1.8b (92.5%) | 0.0% (-32.3%) | $234.55 (-34.8%) |
| 2026 | $8.8t (7.6%) | $7.3b (95.2%) | $-13.1b (-648.6%) | 0.1% (81.3%) | $466.16 (98.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in JPY. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.