Discounted Cash Flow
MGE Energy Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $544.7m | $75.6m | $63.9m | 13.9% | $1.21 |
| 2017 | $563.1m (3.4%) | $97.6m (29.2%) | $24.9m (-61.1%) | 17.3% (25.0%) | $1.26 (4.1%) |
| 2018 | $559.8m (-0.6%) | $84.2m (-13.7%) | $-59.2m (-338.0%) | 15.0% (-13.2%) | $1.32 (4.8%) |
| 2019 | $568.9m (1.6%) | $86.9m (3.2%) | $-33.6m (43.3%) | 15.3% (1.5%) | $1.38 (4.5%) |
| 2020 | $538.6m (-5.3%) | $92.4m (6.4%) | $-30.7m (8.5%) | 17.2% (12.4%) | $1.45 (5.1%) |
| 2021 | $606.6m (12.6%) | $105.8m (14.4%) | $-15.6m (49.0%) | 17.4% (1.6%) | $2.92 (101.4%) |
| 2022 | $714.5m (17.8%) | $111.0m (4.9%) | $-21.3m (-36.1%) | 15.5% (-10.9%) | $3.07 (5.1%) |
| 2023 | $690.4m (-3.4%) | $117.7m (6.1%) | $15.5m (172.7%) | 17.0% (9.8%) | $3.25 (5.9%) |
| 2024 | $676.9m (-2.0%) | $120.6m (2.4%) | $40.9m (163.8%) | 17.8% (4.5%) | $3.33 (2.5%) |
| 2025 | $743.7m (9.9%) | $135.9m (12.7%) | $-80.0m (-295.8%) | 18.3% (2.6%) | $3.72 (11.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.