Discounted Cash Flow

MGM Resorts International

MGM · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $9.5b $1.1b $-728.5m 11.6% $1.94
2017 $10.8b (13.9%) $2.0b (78.0%) $342.3m (147.0%) 18.2% (56.2%) $3.39 (74.7%)
2018 $11.8b (9.2%) $466.8m (-76.2%) $235.7m (-31.1%) 4.0% (-78.2%) $0.82 (-75.8%)
2019 $12.9b (9.7%) $2.0b (339.0%) $1.1b (354.6%) 15.9% (300.3%) $3.90 (375.6%)
2020 $5.2b (-60.0%) $-1.0b (-150.4%) $-1.8b (-264.6%) -20.0% (-225.9%) $-2.02 (-151.8%)
2021 $9.7b (87.5%) $1.3b (221.5%) $882.7m (150.1%) 13.0% (164.8%) $2.44 (220.8%)
2022 $13.1b (35.6%) $1.5b (17.4%) $991.4m (12.3%) 11.2% (-13.4%) $3.52 (44.3%)
2023 $16.2b (23.1%) $1.1b (-22.5%) $1.8b (77.4%) 7.1% (-37.0%) $3.22 (-8.5%)
2024 $17.2b (6.7%) $746.6m (-34.6%) $1.2b (-31.1%) 4.3% (-38.7%) $2.42 (-24.8%)
2025 $17.5b (1.7%) $205.9m (-72.4%) $1.5b (20.5%) 1.2% (-72.9%) $0.77 (-68.2%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model