Discounted Cash Flow
MGP Ingredients Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $22.4m | $31.2m | $1.8m | 139.1% | $0.12 |
| 2017 | $347.4m (1449.6%) | $41.8m (34.1%) | $12.4m (590.2%) | 12.0% (-91.3%) | $1.01 (741.7%) |
| 2018 | $376.1m (8.2%) | $37.3m (-10.9%) | $2.4m (-80.4%) | 9.9% (-17.6%) | $0.32 (-68.3%) |
| 2019 | $362.7m (-3.5%) | $38.8m (4.0%) | $3.0m (22.9%) | 10.7% (7.9%) | $2.27 (609.4%) |
| 2020 | $395.5m (9.0%) | $40.3m (4.0%) | $33.6m (1021.5%) | 10.2% (-4.6%) | $2.37 (4.4%) |
| 2021 | $626.7m (58.5%) | $91.3m (126.3%) | $40.9m (21.8%) | 14.6% (42.8%) | $4.37 (84.4%) |
| 2022 | $782.4m (24.8%) | $109.5m (19.9%) | $43.6m (6.7%) | 14.0% (-4.0%) | $4.94 (13.0%) |
| 2023 | $836.5m (6.9%) | $107.5m (-1.8%) | $28.5m (-34.6%) | 12.8% (-8.2%) | $4.82 (-2.4%) |
| 2024 | $703.6m (-15.9%) | $34.7m (-67.7%) | $31.1m (9.1%) | 4.9% (-61.7%) | $1.56 (-67.6%) |
| 2025 | $536.4m (-23.8%) | $-107.8m (-411.0%) | $76.0m (144.5%) | -20.1% (-508.0%) | $-4.99 (-419.9%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.