Discounted Cash Flow
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $110.9m | $21.5m | $30.5m | 19.4% | — |
| 2017 | $0 (-100.0%) | $1.5m (-92.9%) | $236.3k (-99.2%) | — | $0.02 |
| 2019 | $936.1m | $47.4m (2995.8%) | $47.4m (19971.8%) | 5.1% | $0.53 (2525.5%) |
| 2020 | $534.5m (-42.9%) | $-1.2b (-2647.6%) | $310.1m (553.8%) | -226.1% (-4561.9%) | $-11.24 (-2240.7%) |
| 2021 | $1.1b (101.7%) | $417.3m (134.5%) | $788.5m (154.2%) | 38.7% (117.1%) | $3.21 (128.6%) |
| 2022 | $1.7b (57.1%) | $893.8m (114.2%) | $831.5m (5.5%) | 52.7% (36.3%) | $5.60 (74.6%) |
| 2023 | $1.2b (-27.6%) | $388.3m (-56.6%) | $430.9m (-48.2%) | 31.6% (-40.0%) | $2.35 (-58.0%) |
| 2024 | $1.3b (7.2%) | $366.0m (-5.7%) | $434.1m (0.7%) | 27.8% (-12.1%) | $2.13 (-9.4%) |
| 2025 | $1.3b (-0.3%) | $325.3m (-11.1%) | $409.2m (-5.7%) | 24.8% (-10.9%) | $1.82 (-14.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.