Discounted Cash Flow

McCormick & Co. Inc.

MKC · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $4.4b $472.3m $504.3m 10.7% $3.73
2017 $4.8b (9.6%) $477.4m (1.1%) $632.9m (25.5%) 9.9% (-7.8%) $3.77 (1.1%)
2018 $5.4b (11.9%) $933.4m (95.5%) $652.1m (3.0%) 17.3% (74.7%) $7.10 (88.3%)
2019 $5.3b (-1.1%) $702.7m (-24.7%) $773.1m (18.6%) 13.1% (-23.9%) $5.30 (-25.4%)
2020 $5.6b (4.7%) $747.4m (6.4%) $816.0m (5.5%) 13.3% (1.5%) $2.80 (-47.2%)
2021 $6.3b (12.8%) $755.3m (1.1%) $550.3m (-32.6%) 12.0% (-10.4%) $2.83 (1.1%)
2022 $6.4b (0.5%) $682.0m (-9.7%) $389.5m (-29.2%) 10.7% (-10.2%) $2.54 (-10.2%)
2023 $6.7b (4.9%) $680.6m (-0.2%) $973.4m (149.9%) 10.2% (-4.9%) $2.54 (0.0%)
2024 $6.7b (0.9%) $788.5m (15.9%) $647.0m (-33.5%) 11.7% (14.8%) $2.94 (15.7%)
2025 $6.8b (1.7%) $789.4m (0.1%) $740.4m (14.4%) 11.5% (-1.6%) $2.94 (0.0%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model