Discounted Cash Flow
Markel Group Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $5.6b | $455.7m | $470.9m | 8.1% | $31.41 |
| 2017 | $6.1b (8.0%) | $395.3m (-13.3%) | $783.9m (66.4%) | 6.5% (-19.7%) | $25.89 (-17.6%) |
| 2018 | $2.1b (-64.8%) | $-128.2m (-132.4%) | $786.3m (0.3%) | -6.0% (-192.2%) | $-9.55 (-136.9%) |
| 2019 | $2.4b (13.6%) | $1.8b (1496.8%) | $1.2b (46.4%) | 73.9% (1329.5%) | $129.25 (1453.4%) |
| 2020 | $3.1b (29.3%) | $816.0m (-54.4%) | $1.6b (42.2%) | 26.0% (-64.8%) | $55.67 (-56.9%) |
| 2021 | $4.0b (27.4%) | $2.4b (197.2%) | $2.1b (30.1%) | 60.8% (133.3%) | $176.92 (217.8%) |
| 2022 | $5.2b (31.2%) | $-214.1m (-108.8%) | $-214.1m (-110.1%) | -4.1% (-106.7%) | $-23.57 (-113.3%) |
| 2023 | $15.8b (201.8%) | $2.0b (1032.2%) | $2.5b (1280.7%) | 12.6% (408.9%) | $147.32 (725.0%) |
| 2024 | $16.6b (5.2%) | $2.7b (37.6%) | $2.3b (-7.5%) | 16.5% (30.9%) | $199.69 (35.5%) |
| 2025 | $15.5b (-6.7%) | $2.1b (-23.3%) | $2.6b (9.2%) | 13.6% (-17.8%) | $169.74 (-15.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.