Discounted Cash Flow

Mueller Industries Inc.

MLI · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $2.1b $99.7m $120.3m 4.9% $1.76
2017 $2.3b (10.2%) $85.6m (-14.2%) $-2.1m (-101.8%) 3.8% (-22.1%) $1.50 (-14.8%)
2018 $2.5b (10.7%) $104.5m (22.0%) $129.4m (6158.6%) 4.2% (10.3%) $1.84 (22.7%)
2019 $2.4b (-3.1%) $101.0m (-3.3%) $169.4m (30.9%) 4.2% (-0.3%) $1.81 (-1.6%)
2020 $2.4b (-1.3%) $139.5m (38.2%) $201.2m (18.8%) 5.8% (40.0%) $2.50 (38.1%)
2021 $3.8b (57.2%) $468.5m (235.9%) $279.9m (39.1%) 12.4% (113.7%) $8.36 (234.4%)
2022 $4.0b (5.7%) $658.3m (40.5%) $686.3m (145.2%) 16.5% (33.0%) $11.80 (41.1%)
2023 $3.4b (-14.1%) $602.9m (-8.4%) $618.7m (-9.8%) 17.6% (6.6%) $5.41 (-54.2%)
2024 $3.8b (10.2%) $604.9m (0.3%) $565.7m (-8.6%) 16.0% (-8.9%) $5.43 (0.4%)
2025 $4.2b (10.9%) $765.2m (26.5%) $686.6m (21.4%) 18.3% (14.1%) $6.99 (28.7%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model