Discounted Cash Flow
Mach Natural Resources L.P.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $828.6k | $-480.9k | $-480.9k | -58.0% | $-0.01 |
| 2017 | $1.3m (58.5%) | $355.9k (174.0%) | $355.9k (174.0%) | 27.1% (146.7%) | $0.01 (200.0%) |
| 2018 | $26.0k (-98.0%) | $1.3m (267.1%) | $1.7m (364.5%) | 5023.8% (18435.2%) | $0.03 (200.0%) |
| 2019 | $147.2m (565973.1%) | $2.2m (72.1%) | $967.9k (-41.5%) | 1.5% (-100.0%) | $0.05 (66.7%) |
| 2020 | $42.5m (-71.1%) | $2.0m (-10.9%) | $239.4k (-75.3%) | 4.7% (208.4%) | $0.04 (-20.0%) |
| 2021 | $392.5m (823.6%) | $138.4m (6811.7%) | $160.7m (67010.7%) | 35.3% (648.4%) | $0.02 (-50.0%) |
| 2022 | $937.4m (138.8%) | $516.8m (273.5%) | $320.0m (99.1%) | 55.1% (56.4%) | $0.01 (-50.0%) |
| 2023 | $762.3m (-18.7%) | $346.6m (-32.9%) | $189.4m (-40.8%) | 45.5% (-17.5%) | $0.72 (7100.0%) |
| 2024 | $969.6m (27.2%) | $185.2m (-46.6%) | $295.9m (56.3%) | 19.1% (-58.0%) | $1.90 (163.9%) |
| 2025 | $1.2b (21.2%) | $143.0m (-22.8%) | $244.7m (-17.3%) | 12.2% (-36.3%) | $1.09 (-42.6%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.