Discounted Cash Flow
Moog Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $2.4b | $126.7m | $148.6m | 5.3% | $3.49 |
| 2017 | $2.5b (3.5%) | $141.3m (11.5%) | $142.0m (-4.5%) | 5.7% (7.6%) | $3.94 (12.9%) |
| 2018 | $2.7b (8.5%) | $96.5m (-31.7%) | $7.9m (-94.4%) | 3.6% (-37.0%) | $2.71 (-31.2%) |
| 2019 | $2.9b (7.2%) | $179.7m (86.3%) | $63.0m (698.5%) | 6.2% (73.7%) | $5.16 (90.4%) |
| 2020 | $2.9b (-0.7%) | $9.2m (-94.9%) | $190.9m (203.0%) | 0.3% (-94.8%) | $0.28 (-94.6%) |
| 2021 | $2.9b (-1.1%) | $157.2m (1608.0%) | $164.5m (-13.8%) | 5.5% (1627.5%) | $4.90 (1650.0%) |
| 2022 | $3.0b (6.4%) | $155.2m (-1.3%) | $107.4m (-34.7%) | 5.1% (-7.3%) | $4.85 (-1.0%) |
| 2023 | $3.3b (9.3%) | $171.0m (10.2%) | $-37.4m (-134.8%) | 5.2% (0.8%) | $5.37 (10.7%) |
| 2024 | $3.6b (8.7%) | $207.2m (21.2%) | $46.3m (224.0%) | 5.7% (11.4%) | $6.48 (20.7%) |
| 2025 | $3.9b (7.0%) | $235.0m (13.4%) | $128.4m (177.1%) | 6.1% (6.0%) | $7.42 (14.5%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.