Discounted Cash Flow
Molina Healthcare, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $17.8b | $52.0m | $497.0m | 0.3% | $0.93 |
| 2017 | $19.9b (11.8%) | $-512.0m (-1084.6%) | $718.0m (44.5%) | -2.6% (-980.6%) | $-9.07 (-1075.3%) |
| 2018 | $18.9b (-5.0%) | $707.0m (238.1%) | $-344.0m (-147.9%) | 3.7% (245.3%) | $11.57 (227.6%) |
| 2019 | $16.8b (-10.9%) | $737.0m (4.2%) | $370.0m (207.6%) | 4.4% (17.0%) | $11.85 (2.4%) |
| 2020 | $19.4b (15.4%) | $673.0m (-8.7%) | $1.8b (390.8%) | 3.5% (-20.9%) | $11.40 (-3.8%) |
| 2021 | $27.8b (43.0%) | $659.0m (-2.1%) | $2.0b (12.4%) | 2.4% (-31.5%) | $11.40 (0.0%) |
| 2022 | $32.0b (15.1%) | $792.0m (20.2%) | $682.0m (-66.6%) | 2.5% (4.4%) | $13.72 (20.4%) |
| 2023 | $34.1b (6.6%) | $1.1b (37.8%) | $1.6b (131.4%) | 3.2% (29.3%) | $18.91 (37.8%) |
| 2024 | $40.6b (19.3%) | $1.2b (8.1%) | $544.0m (-65.5%) | 2.9% (-9.4%) | $20.52 (8.5%) |
| 2025 | $45.4b (11.7%) | $472.0m (-60.0%) | $-636.0m (-216.9%) | 1.0% (-64.2%) | $8.93 (-56.5%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.