Discounted Cash Flow
Hello Group Inc. ADR
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $553.1m | $21.5m | $31.3m | 3.9% | $0.38 |
| 2017 | $1.3b (138.3%) | $47.1m (119.3%) | $58.5m (87.1%) | 3.6% (-8.0%) | $0.81 (113.2%) |
| 2018 | $2.0b (47.9%) | $60.6m (28.6%) | $66.4m (13.5%) | 3.1% (-13.1%) | $1.01 (24.7%) |
| 2019 | $2.4b (25.3%) | $439.7m (625.4%) | $111.9m (68.5%) | 18.0% (478.8%) | $1.03 (2.0%) |
| 2020 | $2.3b (-5.8%) | $311.3m (-29.2%) | $67.1m (-40.1%) | 13.5% (-24.8%) | $0.77 (-25.2%) |
| 2021 | $2.3b (-0.7%) | $-431.2m (-238.5%) | $34.0m (-49.3%) | -18.9% (-239.4%) | $-1.13 (-246.8%) |
| 2022 | $1.8b (-19.5%) | $219.7m (150.9%) | $179.8m (429.0%) | 11.9% (163.3%) | $0.55 (148.7%) |
| 2023 | $1.7b (-8.2%) | $289.7m (31.9%) | $325.0m (80.7%) | 17.1% (43.7%) | $0.73 (32.7%) |
| 2024 | $1.4b (-14.4%) | $153.9m (-46.9%) | $236.9m (-27.1%) | 10.6% (-38.0%) | $0.39 (-46.6%) |
| 2025 | $1.5b (2.4%) | $119.0m (-22.7%) | $164.7m (-30.5%) | 8.0% (-24.5%) | $0.35 (-10.3%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in CNY. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.