Discounted Cash Flow
Mosaic Co.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $7.2b | $297.8m | $423.0m | 4.2% | $0.85 |
| 2017 | $7.4b (3.4%) | $-107.2m (-136.0%) | $115.4m (-72.7%) | -1.4% (-134.8%) | $-0.31 (-136.5%) |
| 2018 | $-166.1m (-102.2%) | $470.0m (538.4%) | $455.3m (294.5%) | -283.0% (-19457.6%) | $1.22 (493.5%) |
| 2019 | $-182.9m (-10.1%) | $-1.1b (-327.1%) | $-176.8m (-138.8%) | 583.6% (306.2%) | $-2.78 (-327.9%) |
| 2020 | $8.7b (4846.7%) | $666.1m (162.4%) | $412.0m (333.0%) | 7.7% (-98.7%) | $1.76 (163.3%) |
| 2021 | $12.4b (42.3%) | $1.6b (144.8%) | $898.4m (118.1%) | 13.2% (72.0%) | $4.31 (144.9%) |
| 2022 | $19.1b (54.8%) | $3.6b (119.7%) | $2.7b (199.3%) | 18.7% (42.0%) | $10.17 (136.0%) |
| 2023 | $13.7b (-28.4%) | $1.2b (-67.5%) | $1.0b (-62.6%) | 8.5% (-54.6%) | $3.52 (-65.4%) |
| 2024 | $11.1b (-18.8%) | $174.9m (-85.0%) | $47.4m (-95.3%) | 1.6% (-81.5%) | $0.55 (-84.4%) |
| 2025 | $12.1b (8.4%) | $540.7m (209.1%) | $-534.6m (-1227.8%) | 4.5% (185.3%) | $1.70 (209.1%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.