Discounted Cash Flow
MP Materials Corp. / DE
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | $73.4m | $-6.8m | $-2.7m | -9.2% | $-0.10 |
| 2020 | $134.3m (83.0%) | $-21.8m (-223.1%) | $-19.1m (-604.3%) | -16.2% (-76.6%) | $-0.27 (-169.8%) |
| 2021 | $328.6m (144.6%) | $135.0m (718.7%) | $-21.9m (-14.7%) | 41.1% (352.9%) | $0.78 (384.2%) |
| 2022 | $527.5m (60.6%) | $289.0m (114.0%) | $16.9m (177.3%) | 54.8% (33.3%) | $1.64 (110.3%) |
| 2023 | $253.4m (-52.0%) | $24.3m (-91.6%) | $-199.2m (-1277.4%) | 9.6% (-82.5%) | $0.14 (-91.6%) |
| 2024 | $203.9m (-19.6%) | $-65.4m (-369.2%) | $-173.1m (13.1%) | -32.1% (-434.6%) | $-0.39 (-385.8%) |
| 2025 | $224.4m (10.1%) | $-85.9m (-31.3%) | $-328.1m (-89.6%) | -38.3% (-19.2%) | $-0.50 (-28.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.