Discounted Cash Flow
Marathon Petroleum Corp.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $17.2b | $1.2b | $1.1b | 6.8% | $2.22 |
| 2017 | $21.1b (22.7%) | $3.4b (192.3%) | $3.9b (254.4%) | 16.3% (138.2%) | $6.76 (204.5%) |
| 2018 | $95.8b (354.8%) | $2.8b (-19.0%) | $2.6b (-33.5%) | 2.9% (-82.2%) | $5.36 (-20.7%) |
| 2019 | $123.9b (29.5%) | $2.6b (-5.1%) | $4.1b (57.6%) | 2.1% (-26.7%) | $4.00 (-25.4%) |
| 2020 | $69.8b (-43.7%) | $-9.8b (-472.6%) | $-368.0m (-109.0%) | -14.1% (-761.9%) | $-15.13 (-478.3%) |
| 2021 | $120.0b (71.9%) | $9.7b (199.1%) | $2.9b (887.0%) | 8.1% (157.6%) | $15.34 (201.4%) |
| 2022 | $177.5b (47.9%) | $14.5b (49.1%) | $13.9b (381.4%) | 8.2% (0.8%) | $28.31 (84.6%) |
| 2023 | $148.4b (-16.4%) | $9.7b (-33.3%) | $12.2b (-12.3%) | 6.5% (-20.2%) | $23.73 (-16.2%) |
| 2024 | $138.9b (-6.4%) | $3.4b (-64.4%) | $6.1b (-49.8%) | 2.5% (-62.0%) | $10.11 (-57.4%) |
| 2025 | $132.7b (-4.4%) | $4.0b (17.5%) | $4.8b (-22.3%) | 3.0% (22.9%) | $13.24 (31.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.