Discounted Cash Flow
Mercury Systems Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $270.2m | $19.7m | $29.1m | 7.3% | $0.58 |
| 2017 | $408.6m (51.2%) | $24.9m (26.0%) | $26.3m (-9.5%) | 6.1% (-16.7%) | $0.59 (1.7%) |
| 2018 | $493.2m (20.7%) | $40.9m (64.4%) | $28.2m (7.3%) | 8.3% (36.2%) | $0.88 (49.2%) |
| 2019 | $654.7m (32.8%) | $46.8m (14.4%) | $70.8m (151.0%) | 7.1% (-13.8%) | $0.98 (11.4%) |
| 2020 | $796.6m (21.7%) | $85.7m (83.2%) | $71.9m (1.5%) | 10.8% (50.6%) | $1.57 (60.2%) |
| 2021 | $924.0m (16.0%) | $62.0m (-27.6%) | $51.6m (-28.2%) | 6.7% (-37.6%) | $1.13 (-28.0%) |
| 2022 | $988.2m (6.9%) | $11.3m (-81.8%) | $-46.5m (-190.1%) | 1.1% (-83.0%) | $0.20 (-82.3%) |
| 2023 | $973.9m (-1.4%) | $-28.3m (-351.3%) | $-60.0m (-29.1%) | -2.9% (-355.0%) | $-0.50 (-350.0%) |
| 2024 | $835.3m (-14.2%) | $-137.6m (-385.8%) | $26.1m (143.4%) | -16.5% (-466.4%) | $-2.38 (-376.0%) |
| 2025 | $912.0m (9.2%) | $-37.9m (72.5%) | $119.0m (356.3%) | -4.2% (74.8%) | $-0.65 (72.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.