Discounted Cash Flow
MSA Safety Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.1b | $91.9m | $109.4m | 8.0% | $2.45 |
| 2017 | $1.2b (4.1%) | $26.0m (-71.7%) | $206.6m (88.9%) | 2.2% (-72.8%) | $0.68 (-72.2%) |
| 2018 | $1.4b (13.5%) | $124.2m (377.0%) | $229.9m (11.3%) | 9.1% (320.4%) | $3.23 (375.0%) |
| 2019 | $1.4b (3.2%) | $136.4m (9.9%) | $128.4m (-44.2%) | 9.7% (6.5%) | — |
| 2020 | $1.3b (-3.8%) | $120.1m (-12.0%) | $157.7m (22.8%) | 8.9% (-8.5%) | — |
| 2021 | $1.4b (3.9%) | $21.3m (-82.2%) | $155.3m (-1.5%) | 1.5% (-82.9%) | $0.54 |
| 2022 | $1.5b (9.1%) | $179.6m (741.8%) | $114.9m (-26.0%) | 11.8% (671.4%) | $4.58 (748.1%) |
| 2023 | $1.8b (17.0%) | $58.6m (-67.4%) | $50.1m (-56.4%) | 3.3% (-72.1%) | $1.49 (-67.5%) |
| 2024 | $1.8b (1.1%) | $285.0m (386.4%) | $242.2m (383.5%) | 15.8% (380.9%) | $7.24 (385.9%) |
| 2025 | $1.9b (3.7%) | $278.9m (-2.1%) | $295.4m (22.0%) | 14.9% (-5.6%) | $7.11 (-1.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.