Discounted Cash Flow
MSC Industrial Direct Co. Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $2.9b | $231.2m | $313.2m | 8.1% | $3.78 |
| 2017 | $2.9b (0.8%) | $231.4m (0.1%) | $200.3m (-36.0%) | 8.0% (-0.7%) | $4.08 (7.9%) |
| 2018 | $3.2b (10.9%) | $329.2m (42.3%) | $294.7m (47.2%) | 10.3% (28.2%) | $5.84 (43.1%) |
| 2019 | $3.4b (5.0%) | $288.9m (-12.3%) | $276.7m (-6.1%) | 8.6% (-16.4%) | $5.23 (-10.4%) |
| 2020 | $3.2b (-5.1%) | $251.1m (-13.1%) | $349.7m (26.4%) | 7.9% (-8.4%) | $4.53 (-13.4%) |
| 2021 | $3.2b (1.6%) | $216.9m (-13.6%) | $170.7m (-51.2%) | 6.7% (-15.0%) | $3.89 (-14.1%) |
| 2022 | $3.7b (13.8%) | $339.8m (56.7%) | $184.8m (8.3%) | 9.2% (37.6%) | $6.09 (56.6%) |
| 2023 | $4.0b (8.6%) | $343.2m (1.0%) | $607.1m (228.5%) | 8.6% (-7.0%) | $6.14 (0.8%) |
| 2024 | $3.8b (-4.7%) | $258.6m (-24.7%) | $311.3m (-48.7%) | 6.8% (-20.9%) | $4.60 (-25.1%) |
| 2025 | $3.8b (-1.3%) | $199.3m (-22.9%) | $240.9m (-22.6%) | 5.3% (-21.9%) | $3.57 (-22.4%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.