Discounted Cash Flow

Strategy Inc.

MSTR · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

DCF estimate unavailable — only_5_profitable_out_of_10

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $512.2m $90.9m $108.3m 17.7% $7.96
2017 $504.5m (-1.5%) $17.6m (-80.6%) $74.3m (-31.3%) 3.5% (-80.3%) $1.54 (-80.7%)
2018 $497.6m (-1.4%) $22.5m (27.5%) $3.8m (-94.9%) 4.5% (29.3%) $1.98 (28.6%)
2019 $486.3m (-2.3%) $34.4m (52.7%) $50.7m (1240.5%) 7.1% (56.2%) $3.35 (69.2%)
2020 $480.7m (-1.1%) $-7.5m (-121.9%) $50.0m (-1.4%) -1.6% (-122.2%) $-0.78 (-123.3%)
2021 $510.8m (6.2%) $-535.5m (-7017.0%) $91.1m (82.4%) -104.8% (-6598.6%) $-53.44 (-6751.3%)
2022 $499.3m (-2.3%) $-1.5b (-174.5%) $725.0k (-99.2%) -294.4% (-180.8%) $-129.83 (-142.9%)
2023 $496.3m (-0.6%) $429.1m (129.2%) $9.8m (1248.1%) 86.5% (129.4%) $31.39 (124.2%)
2024 $463.5m (-6.6%) $-1.2b (-371.9%) $-56.0m (-673.1%) -251.7% (-391.1%) $-6.06 (-119.3%)
2025 $477.2m (3.0%) $-3.8b (-229.8%) $-75.5m (-34.7%) -806.3% (-220.3%) $-15.23 (-151.3%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model

only_5_profitable_out_of_10

Once the company meets all DCF eligibility criteria (sufficient history, profitability, growth trends), an estimate will become available automatically. No action is needed.