Discounted Cash Flow
Matador Resources Co.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $264.4m | $-97.1m | $134.1m | -36.7% | $-1.07 |
| 2017 | $544.3m (105.8%) | $138.0m (242.2%) | $299.1m (123.1%) | 25.4% (169.1%) | $1.23 (215.0%) |
| 2018 | $829.7m (52.4%) | $274.2m (98.7%) | $608.5m (103.4%) | 33.0% (30.3%) | $2.41 (95.9%) |
| 2019 | $1.0b (23.7%) | $87.8m (-68.0%) | $552.0m (-9.3%) | 8.6% (-74.1%) | $0.75 (-68.9%) |
| 2020 | $851.1m (-17.1%) | $-593.2m (-775.8%) | $477.6m (-13.5%) | -69.7% (-914.8%) | $-5.11 (-781.3%) |
| 2021 | $1.9b (118.8%) | $585.0m (198.6%) | $1.1b (120.6%) | 31.4% (145.1%) | $5.00 (197.8%) |
| 2022 | $3.2b (71.7%) | $1.2b (107.6%) | $894.8m (-15.1%) | 38.0% (20.9%) | $10.28 (105.6%) |
| 2023 | $2.8b (-11.9%) | $846.1m (-30.3%) | $318.0m (-64.5%) | 30.0% (-20.9%) | $7.10 (-30.9%) |
| 2024 | $3.5b (23.5%) | $885.3m (4.6%) | $280.0m (-11.9%) | 25.4% (-15.3%) | $7.16 (0.8%) |
| 2025 | $3.7b (5.1%) | $759.2m (-14.2%) | $241.6m (-13.7%) | 20.8% (-18.4%) | $6.10 (-14.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.