Discounted Cash Flow

Mgic Investment Corp.

MTG · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $1.1b $342.5m $209.1m 32.2% $1.00
2017 $1.1b (0.3%) $355.8m (3.9%) $390.6m (86.8%) 33.4% (3.5%) $0.98 (-2.0%)
2018 $1.1b (5.4%) $670.1m (88.4%) $530.3m (35.8%) 59.6% (78.7%) $1.83 (86.7%)
2019 $1.2b (8.0%) $673.8m (0.5%) $603.9m (13.9%) 55.5% (-6.9%) $1.91 (4.4%)
2020 $1.2b (-1.2%) $446.1m (-33.8%) $729.0m (20.7%) 37.2% (-33.0%) $1.31 (-31.4%)
2021 $1.2b (-1.1%) $635.0m (42.3%) $692.2m (-5.0%) 53.6% (44.0%) $1.90 (45.0%)
2022 $1.2b (-1.1%) $865.3m (36.3%) $646.8m (-6.6%) 73.8% (37.8%) $2.83 (48.9%)
2023 $1.2b (-1.5%) $712.9m (-17.6%) $711.0m (9.9%) 61.7% (-16.4%) $2.51 (-11.3%)
2024 $1.2b (4.6%) $763.0m (7.0%) $723.9m (1.8%) 63.2% (2.4%) $2.92 (16.3%)
2025 $1.2b (0.5%) $738.3m (-3.2%) $851.8m (17.7%) 60.8% (-3.7%) $3.17 (8.6%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model