Discounted Cash Flow
Vail Resorts Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.6b | $149.8m | $317.5m | 9.4% | $4.13 |
| 2017 | $1.9b (19.1%) | $210.6m (40.6%) | $312.5m (-1.6%) | 11.0% (18.0%) | $5.36 (29.8%) |
| 2018 | $2.0b (5.5%) | $379.9m (80.4%) | $411.0m (31.5%) | 18.9% (71.1%) | $9.40 (75.4%) |
| 2019 | $2.3b (12.9%) | $301.2m (-20.7%) | $442.2m (7.6%) | 13.3% (-29.8%) | $7.46 (-20.6%) |
| 2020 | $2.0b (-13.6%) | $98.8m (-67.2%) | $222.6m (-49.7%) | 5.0% (-62.0%) | $2.45 (-67.2%) |
| 2021 | $1.9b (-2.7%) | $127.8m (29.4%) | $410.2m (84.2%) | 6.7% (33.0%) | $3.17 (29.4%) |
| 2022 | $2.5b (32.3%) | $347.9m (172.1%) | $517.7m (26.2%) | 13.8% (105.7%) | $8.60 (171.3%) |
| 2023 | $2.9b (14.4%) | $268.1m (-22.9%) | $322.9m (-37.6%) | 9.3% (-32.6%) | $6.76 (-21.4%) |
| 2024 | $2.9b (-0.1%) | $230.4m (-14.1%) | $377.8m (17.0%) | 8.0% (-14.0%) | $6.08 (-10.1%) |
| 2025 | $3.0b (2.7%) | $280.0m (21.5%) | $319.7m (-15.4%) | 9.4% (18.3%) | $7.54 (24.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.