Discounted Cash Flow
Murphy OIL Corp.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.8b | $-276.0m | $-95.1m | -15.3% | $-1.60 |
| 2017 | $2.1b (15.9%) | $-311.8m (-13.0%) | $917.0m (1064.4%) | -14.9% (2.5%) | $-1.81 (-13.1%) |
| 2018 | $2.6b (23.3%) | $411.1m (231.9%) | $1.2b (33.0%) | 15.9% (206.9%) | $2.38 (231.5%) |
| 2019 | $2.8b (8.9%) | $1.1b (179.7%) | $1.5b (22.1%) | 40.8% (156.8%) | $7.01 (194.5%) |
| 2020 | $1.8b (-37.8%) | $-1.1b (-199.9%) | $802.7m (-46.1%) | -65.6% (-260.7%) | $-7.48 (-206.7%) |
| 2021 | $2.8b (59.9%) | $-73.7m (93.6%) | $-73.7m (-109.2%) | -2.6% (96.0%) | $-0.48 (93.6%) |
| 2022 | $4.2b (50.7%) | $965.0m (1410.1%) | $1.1b (1547.4%) | 22.9% (969.6%) | $6.22 (1395.8%) |
| 2023 | $3.4b (-18.3%) | $661.6m (-31.4%) | $647.2m (-39.3%) | 19.2% (-16.1%) | $4.26 (-31.5%) |
| 2024 | $3.0b (-12.5%) | $407.2m (-38.5%) | $820.8m (26.8%) | 13.5% (-29.7%) | $2.71 (-36.4%) |
| 2025 | $2.7b (-10.9%) | $104.2m (-74.4%) | $198.2m (-75.9%) | 3.9% (-71.3%) | $0.73 (-73.1%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.