Discounted Cash Flow
Mueller Water Products, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.1b | $63.9m | $105.7m | 5.6% | $0.40 |
| 2017 | $826.0m (-27.5%) | $123.3m (93.0%) | $18.8m (-82.2%) | 14.9% (166.1%) | $0.77 (92.5%) |
| 2018 | $916.0m (10.9%) | $105.6m (-14.4%) | $77.4m (311.7%) | 11.5% (-22.8%) | $0.67 (-13.0%) |
| 2019 | $968.0m (5.7%) | $63.8m (-39.6%) | $5.9m (-92.4%) | 6.6% (-42.8%) | $0.40 (-40.3%) |
| 2020 | $964.1m (-0.4%) | $72.0m (12.9%) | $72.6m (1130.5%) | 7.5% (13.3%) | $0.21 (-47.5%) |
| 2021 | $1.1b (15.2%) | $70.4m (-2.2%) | $94.0m (29.5%) | 6.3% (-15.2%) | $0.44 (109.5%) |
| 2022 | $1.2b (12.3%) | $76.6m (8.8%) | $-2.4m (-102.6%) | 6.1% (-3.1%) | $0.49 (11.4%) |
| 2023 | $1.3b (2.3%) | $85.5m (11.6%) | $61.4m (2658.3%) | 6.7% (9.1%) | $0.55 (12.2%) |
| 2024 | $1.3b (3.1%) | $115.9m (35.6%) | $191.4m (211.7%) | 8.8% (31.5%) | $0.74 (34.5%) |
| 2025 | $1.4b (8.7%) | $191.7m (65.4%) | $172.0m (-10.1%) | 13.4% (52.1%) | $1.23 (66.2%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.