Discounted Cash Flow

Marzetti Co.

MZTI · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $1.2b $121.8m $125.9m 10.2% $4.45
2017 $1.2b (0.9%) $115.3m (-5.3%) $117.3m (-6.8%) 9.6% (-6.1%) $4.21 (-5.4%)
2018 $1.2b (1.8%) $135.3m (17.3%) $129.7m (10.5%) 11.1% (15.3%) $4.93 (17.1%)
2019 $1.3b (6.9%) $150.5m (11.3%) $126.7m (-2.3%) 11.5% (4.0%) $5.48 (11.2%)
2020 $1.3b (2.0%) $137.0m (-9.0%) $88.1m (-30.5%) 10.3% (-10.8%) $4.98 (-9.1%)
2021 $1.5b (9.9%) $142.3m (3.9%) $86.3m (-2.0%) 9.7% (-5.5%) $5.17 (3.8%)
2022 $1.7b (14.3%) $89.6m (-37.1%) $-30.2m (-134.9%) 5.3% (-44.9%) $3.26 (-36.9%)
2023 $1.8b (8.7%) $111.3m (24.2%) $135.7m (550.0%) 6.1% (14.3%) $4.04 (23.9%)
2024 $1.9b (2.7%) $158.6m (42.5%) $184.0m (35.6%) 8.5% (38.8%) $5.77 (42.8%)
2025 $1.9b (2.0%) $167.3m (5.5%) $203.5m (10.6%) 8.8% (3.4%) $6.08 (5.4%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model