Discounted Cash Flow
Natures Sunshine Products Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $341.2m | $2.1m | $-7.6m | 0.6% | $0.11 |
| 2017 | $342.0m (0.3%) | $-12.9m (-705.0%) | $5.0m (166.0%) | -3.8% (-703.5%) | $-0.69 (-727.3%) |
| 2018 | $364.8m (6.7%) | $-854.0k (93.4%) | $17.0m (238.4%) | -0.2% (93.8%) | $-0.04 (94.2%) |
| 2019 | $362.2m (-0.7%) | $6.8m (892.2%) | $3.4m (-79.8%) | 1.9% (897.8%) | $0.35 (975.0%) |
| 2020 | $385.2m (6.3%) | $21.3m (215.4%) | $32.8m (851.9%) | 5.5% (196.6%) | $1.09 (211.4%) |
| 2021 | $444.1m (15.3%) | $28.9m (35.2%) | $27.9m (-14.7%) | 6.5% (17.3%) | $1.45 (33.0%) |
| 2022 | $421.9m (-5.0%) | $-390.0k (-101.4%) | $-6.9m (-124.8%) | -0.1% (-101.4%) | $-0.02 (-101.4%) |
| 2023 | $445.3m (5.5%) | $15.1m (3965.6%) | $30.7m (544.5%) | 3.4% (3762.4%) | $0.79 (4050.0%) |
| 2024 | $454.4m (2.0%) | $7.7m (-49.0%) | $14.3m (-53.4%) | 1.7% (-50.0%) | $0.41 (-48.1%) |
| 2025 | $480.1m (5.7%) | $19.5m (153.7%) | $28.8m (101.3%) | 4.1% (140.0%) | $1.08 (163.4%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.