Discounted Cash Flow
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $4.9b | $633.1m | $147.6m | 13.0% | $2.79 |
| 2017 | $5.4b (10.7%) | $759.9m (20.0%) | $213.5m (44.7%) | 14.1% (8.4%) | $3.33 (19.4%) |
| 2018 | $6.1b (12.2%) | $954.8m (25.7%) | $508.4m (138.1%) | 15.8% (12.0%) | $4.28 (28.5%) |
| 2019 | $6.5b (6.7%) | $930.2m (-2.6%) | $185.4m (-63.5%) | 14.4% (-8.7%) | $4.33 (1.2%) |
| 2020 | $1.3b (-80.2%) | $-4.0b (-531.3%) | $-3.5b (-1989.0%) | -313.5% (-2277.9%) | $-15.75 (-463.7%) |
| 2021 | $648.0m (-49.4%) | $-4.5b (-12.3%) | $-3.2b (8.0%) | -695.5% (-121.8%) | $-12.33 (21.7%) |
| 2022 | $4.8b (647.5%) | $-2.3b (49.6%) | $-1.6b (51.1%) | -46.9% (93.3%) | $-5.41 (56.1%) |
| 2023 | $8.5b (76.5%) | $166.2m (107.3%) | $-744.6m (52.7%) | 1.9% (104.1%) | $0.39 (107.2%) |
| 2024 | $9.5b (10.9%) | $910.3m (447.8%) | $838.9m (212.7%) | 9.6% (394.0%) | $2.09 (435.9%) |
| 2025 | $9.8b (3.7%) | $423.2m (-53.5%) | $-1.2b (-239.5%) | 4.3% (-55.1%) | $0.94 (-55.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.