Discounted Cash Flow

The9 Ltd. ADR

NCTY · Based on 10 years of SEC filings · Converted from CNY to USD

DCF estimate unavailable — only_2_profitable_out_of_10

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $8.1m $-14.4m $-26.8m -177.9% $-28.34
2017 $11.3m (38.8%) $-4.0m (72.4%) $-12.8m (52.1%) -35.4% (80.1%) $-0.81 (97.1%)
2018 $2.5m (-77.4%) $-4.7m (-17.2%) $-2.2m (83.0%) -183.7% (-418.3%) $-4.15 (-412.3%)
2019 $49.1k (-98.1%) $-3.8m (19.1%) $-1.2m (47.1%) -7705.1% (-4095.0%) $-1.79 (56.9%)
2020 $95.9k (95.4%) $9.0m (338.8%) $-2.4m (-109.3%) 9414.2% (222.2%) $2.42 (235.2%)
2021 $21.3m (22142.6%) $-9.6m (-205.8%) $-16.0m (-562.7%) -44.8% (-100.5%) $-0.13 (-105.4%)
2022 $17.2m (-19.2%) $-20.9m (-119.0%) $-59.6m (-273.3%) -121.4% (-170.9%) $-0.20 (-53.8%)
2023 $25.2m (46.3%) $417.0k (102.0%) $417.0k (100.7%) 1.7% (101.4%) $0.02 (110.0%)
2024 $15.3m (-39.3%) $-1.5m (-457.0%) $-9.2m (-2307.6%) -9.7% (-688.3%) $-0.01 (-150.0%)
2025 $15.4m (0.8%) $-59.6m (-3900.9%) $-6.5m (29.7%) -386.0% (-3868.7%) $-0.03 (-200.0%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

SEC filings report in CNY. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model

only_2_profitable_out_of_10

Once the company meets all DCF eligibility criteria (sufficient history, profitability, growth trends), an estimate will become available automatically. No action is needed.