Discounted Cash Flow

Northeast Community Bancorp, Inc./Md/

NECB · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2020 $49.0m $12.3m $14.4m 25.2% $0.76
2021 $48.4m (-1.2%) $11.9m (-3.4%) $15.1m (4.9%) 24.6% (-2.3%) $0.75 (-1.3%)
2022 $72.0m (48.8%) $24.8m (108.7%) $24.2m (60.4%) 34.5% (40.3%) $1.61 (114.7%)
2023 $132.5m (84.0%) $46.3m (86.3%) $42.2m (74.2%) 34.9% (1.2%) $3.32 (106.2%)
2024 $160.0m (20.8%) $47.1m (1.7%) $48.2m (14.1%) 29.4% (-15.8%) $3.58 (7.8%)
2025 $154.1m (-3.7%) $44.4m (-5.7%) $50.8m (5.5%) 28.8% (-2.0%) $3.35 (-6.4%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model