Discounted Cash Flow
Newmarket Corp.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $2.0b | $243.4m | $210.6m | 11.9% | $20.54 |
| 2017 | $2.2b (7.3%) | $190.5m (-21.7%) | $94.1m (-55.3%) | 8.7% (-27.0%) | $16.08 (-21.7%) |
| 2018 | $2.3b (4.2%) | $234.7m (23.2%) | $123.3m (31.0%) | 10.3% (18.3%) | $20.34 (26.5%) |
| 2019 | $2.2b (-4.3%) | $254.3m (8.3%) | $277.8m (125.3%) | 11.6% (13.2%) | $22.73 (11.8%) |
| 2020 | $2.0b (-8.2%) | $270.6m (6.4%) | $190.8m (-31.3%) | 13.5% (15.9%) | $24.64 (8.4%) |
| 2021 | $2.4b (17.2%) | $190.9m (-29.4%) | $86.4m (-54.7%) | 8.1% (-39.8%) | $17.71 (-28.1%) |
| 2022 | $2.8b (17.3%) | $279.5m (46.4%) | $52.5m (-39.3%) | 10.1% (24.8%) | $27.77 (56.8%) |
| 2023 | $2.7b (-2.4%) | $388.9m (39.1%) | $528.5m (907.7%) | 14.4% (42.5%) | $40.44 (45.6%) |
| 2024 | $2.8b (3.3%) | $462.4m (18.9%) | $462.3m (-12.5%) | 16.6% (15.2%) | $48.22 (19.2%) |
| 2025 | $2.7b (-2.2%) | $418.7m (-9.4%) | $491.3m (6.3%) | 15.4% (-7.4%) | $44.44 (-7.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.