Discounted Cash Flow
National Fuel GAS Co.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.5b | $-3 | $7.4m | -0.0% | — |
| 2017 | $1.6b (8.8%) | $3 (196.2%) | $233.9m (3059.7%) | 0.0% (188.4%) | — |
| 2018 | $1.6b (0.8%) | $5 (37.3%) | $29.6m (-87.3%) | 0.0% (36.2%) | — |
| 2019 | $1.7b (6.3%) | $4 (-22.5%) | $-94.5m (-419.1%) | 0.0% (-27.1%) | — |
| 2020 | $1.5b (-8.7%) | $-1 (-140.2%) | $24.7m (126.1%) | -0.0% (-144.0%) | — |
| 2021 | $1.7b (12.7%) | $4 (381.6%) | $39.8m (61.5%) | 0.0% (349.8%) | — |
| 2022 | $2.2b (25.4%) | $6 (54.9%) | $695.0k (-98.3%) | 0.0% (23.5%) | — |
| 2023 | $2.2b (-0.6%) | $5 (-15.9%) | $227.2m (32591.7%) | 0.0% (-15.5%) | — |
| 2024 | $1.9b (-10.5%) | $1 (-83.8%) | $134.7m (-40.7%) | 0.0% (-81.8%) | — |
| 2025 | $2.3b (17.1%) | $6 (576.2%) | $187.2m (39.0%) | 0.0% (477.4%) | — |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.