Discounted Cash Flow
Netflix Inc.
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—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $8.8b | $186.7m | $-1.6b | 2.1% | $0.44 |
| 2017 | $11.7b (32.4%) | $558.9m (199.4%) | $-2.0b (-23.9%) | 4.8% (126.1%) | $1.29 (193.2%) |
| 2018 | $15.8b (35.1%) | $1.2b (116.7%) | $-2.9b (-45.7%) | 7.7% (60.4%) | $2.78 (115.5%) |
| 2019 | $20.2b (27.6%) | $1.9b (54.1%) | $-3.1b (-10.0%) | 9.3% (20.8%) | $4.26 (53.2%) |
| 2020 | $25.0b (24.0%) | $2.8b (47.9%) | $1.9b (161.4%) | 11.0% (19.3%) | $6.26 (46.9%) |
| 2021 | $29.7b (18.8%) | $5.1b (85.3%) | $-132.0m (-106.8%) | 17.2% (55.9%) | $11.55 (84.5%) |
| 2022 | $31.6b (6.5%) | $4.5b (-12.2%) | $1.6b (1326.4%) | 14.2% (-17.5%) | $10.10 (-12.6%) |
| 2023 | $33.7b (6.7%) | $5.4b (20.4%) | $6.9b (327.9%) | 16.0% (12.9%) | $12.25 (21.3%) |
| 2024 | $39.0b (15.6%) | $8.7b (61.1%) | $5.6b (-18.9%) | 22.3% (39.3%) | $20.28 (65.6%) |
| 2025 | $45.2b (15.9%) | $11.0b (26.1%) | $10.0b (77.6%) | 24.3% (8.8%) | $2.58 (-87.3%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.