Discounted Cash Flow

National Grid Plc. ADR

NGG · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

DCF estimate unavailable — No positive free cash flow in recent history — company has not generated positive FCF

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income
Dividends

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2017 $15.0b $2.2b $-2.4b 14.5% $2.07
2018 $15.2b (1.4%) $3.5b (62.5%) $-1.2b (48.7%) 23.3% (60.3%) $1.03 (-50.5%)
2019 $14.9b (-2.1%) $1.5b (-57.4%) $-71.0m (94.2%) 10.1% (-56.5%) $0.45 (-56.5%)
2020 $14.5b (-2.6%) $1.3b (-16.3%) $-97.0m (-36.6%) 8.7% (-14.1%) $0.36 (-18.2%)
2021 $14.8b (1.6%) $1.6b (29.7%) $-4.4b (-4396.9%) 11.1% (27.6%) $0.47 (27.7%)
2022 $18.4b (24.8%) $2.4b (43.5%) $-4.3b (1.1%) 12.8% (14.9%) $0.65 (40.3%)
2023 $21.7b (17.4%) $7.8b (231.4%) $-5.8b (-33.7%) 36.0% (182.3%) $2.13 (225.8%)
2024 $19.9b (-8.4%) $2.3b (-70.6%) $-6.9b (-19.7%) 11.5% (-68.0%) $0.62 (-70.9%)
2025 $18.4b (-7.4%) $2.9b (26.7%) $-8.8b (-27.2%) 15.8% (36.9%) $0.62 (-0.6%)
2026 $17.7b (-3.8%) $4.2b (44.1%) $-2.2b (75.4%) 23.6% (49.7%) $0.66 (6.3%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model

No positive free cash flow in recent history — company has not generated positive FCF

Once the company meets all DCF eligibility criteria (sufficient history, profitability, growth trends), an estimate will become available automatically. No action is needed.