Discounted Cash Flow
Natural GAS Services Group Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $71.7m | $6.5m | $28.5m | 9.0% | $0.51 |
| 2017 | $67.7m (-5.5%) | $19.9m (206.9%) | $4.0m (-86.1%) | 29.3% (224.8%) | $1.55 (203.9%) |
| 2018 | $36.8m (-45.6%) | $426.0k (-97.9%) | $426.0k (-89.3%) | 1.2% (-96.1%) | $0.03 (-98.1%) |
| 2019 | $21.7m (-40.9%) | $-13.9m (-3354.5%) | $-40.5m (-9613.1%) | -63.8% (-5609.1%) | $-1.06 (-3633.3%) |
| 2020 | $7.2m (-66.8%) | $1.8m (113.0%) | $17.4m (142.9%) | 25.0% (139.2%) | $0.14 (113.2%) |
| 2021 | $8.8m (21.7%) | $-9.2m (-607.9%) | $2.8m (-83.8%) | -104.4% (-517.4%) | $-0.70 (-600.0%) |
| 2022 | $10.4m (17.8%) | $-569.0k (93.8%) | $-569.0k (-120.2%) | -5.5% (94.7%) | $-0.05 (92.9%) |
| 2023 | $15.0m (44.9%) | $4.7m (934.3%) | $4.7m (934.3%) | 31.6% (675.9%) | $0.39 (880.0%) |
| 2024 | $156.7m (944.4%) | $17.2m (262.9%) | $-5.4m (-214.4%) | 11.0% (-65.3%) | $1.39 (256.4%) |
| 2025 | $172.3m (9.9%) | $19.9m (15.7%) | $-58.6m (-978.3%) | 11.6% (5.2%) | $1.59 (14.4%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.