Discounted Cash Flow
National Healthcare Corp.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $5.7m | $50.5m | $28.3m | 885.9% | $3.34 |
| 2017 | $6.5m (13.5%) | $56.2m (11.2%) | $62.1m (119.6%) | 868.2% (-2.0%) | $3.70 (10.8%) |
| 2018 | $980.3m (15042.9%) | $59.0m (4.9%) | $68.7m (10.5%) | 6.0% (-99.3%) | $3.87 (4.6%) |
| 2019 | $996.4m (1.6%) | $68.2m (15.7%) | $73.7m (7.3%) | 6.8% (13.8%) | $4.47 (15.5%) |
| 2020 | $1.0b (3.2%) | $41.9m (-38.6%) | $181.4m (146.1%) | 4.1% (-40.5%) | $2.74 (-38.7%) |
| 2021 | $1.1b (4.5%) | $138.6m (231.0%) | $23.0m (-87.3%) | 12.9% (216.8%) | $9.03 (229.6%) |
| 2022 | $1.1b (1.1%) | $22.4m (-83.8%) | $-21.5m (-193.3%) | 2.1% (-84.0%) | $1.46 (-83.8%) |
| 2023 | $1.1b (5.1%) | $66.8m (197.6%) | $83.3m (488.3%) | 5.9% (183.1%) | $4.36 (198.6%) |
| 2024 | $1.3b (14.5%) | $101.9m (52.6%) | $79.7m (-4.3%) | 7.8% (33.2%) | $6.62 (51.8%) |
| 2025 | $1.5b (16.1%) | $120.0m (17.7%) | $148.6m (86.5%) | 7.9% (1.4%) | $7.76 (17.2%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.