Discounted Cash Flow
National Healthcare Properties, Inc. REIT
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $302.6m | $-20.9m | $71.9m | -6.9% | $1.70 |
| 2017 | $311.2m (2.8%) | $-42.5m (-103.8%) | $55.7m (-22.6%) | -13.7% (-98.2%) | $1.51 (-11.2%) |
| 2018 | $362.4m (16.5%) | $-52.8m (-24.0%) | $41.2m (-25.9%) | -14.6% (-6.5%) | $0.95 (-37.1%) |
| 2019 | $374.9m (3.5%) | $-88.1m (-67.0%) | $30.7m (-25.6%) | -23.5% (-61.4%) | $-0.88 (-192.6%) |
| 2020 | $381.6m (1.8%) | $-78.8m (10.6%) | $19.9m (-35.1%) | -20.6% (12.1%) | $-0.79 (10.2%) |
| 2021 | $329.4m (-13.7%) | $-92.9m (-18.0%) | $19.8m (-0.5%) | -28.2% (-36.7%) | $-0.92 (-16.5%) |
| 2022 | $335.8m (2.0%) | $-93.3m (-0.4%) | $302.0k (-98.5%) | -27.8% (1.6%) | $-0.88 (4.3%) |
| 2023 | $345.9m (3.0%) | $-86.1m (7.7%) | $-773.0k (-356.0%) | -24.9% (10.4%) | $-0.76 (13.6%) |
| 2024 | $353.8m (2.3%) | $-203.5m (-136.4%) | $-101.8m (-13063.5%) | -57.5% (-131.1%) | $-7.19 (-846.1%) |
| 2025 | $342.3m (-3.3%) | $-71.1m (65.1%) | $-21.8m (78.6%) | -20.8% (63.9%) | $-2.51 (65.1%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.