Discounted Cash Flow

Nicolet Bankshares Inc.

NIC · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $18.5m $20.8m $2.49
2017 $33.1m (79.6%) $37.0m (78.2%) $3.51 (41.0%)
2018 $41.0m (23.8%) $51.0m (37.9%) $4.26 (21.4%)
2019 $54.6m (33.2%) $58.1m (14.0%) $5.71 (34.0%)
2020 $60.1m (10.0%) $78.9m (35.7%) $5.82 (1.9%)
2021 $60.7m (0.9%) $97.7m (23.8%) $5.65 (-2.9%)
2022 $94.3m (55.4%) $105.2m (7.7%) $6.78 (20.0%)
2023 $61.5m (-34.7%) $89.4m (-15.0%) $4.17 (-38.5%)
2024 $124.1m (101.7%) $116.8m (30.7%) $8.24 (97.6%)
2025 $150.7m (21.5%) $149.4m (27.9%) $10.06 (22.1%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model